Stupidest headline ever?

by Richard on September 10, 2013

Global warming or global scamming

Experts have revealed that despite dire predictions, the ice cap has increased significantly rather than melt. In their words: “Scientists have gone for the money, and sold out science to the devil.”

After years of trying to intimidate the public with the scare that due to global warming glaciers would melt and flood coastal cities and wreaking destruction, the British weekly, “Sunday Mail” reports a dramatic change in the trend. According to the periodical, the ice in the Arctic this year has increased by 60% compared to last year’s numbers – almost 2.5 million square kilometers more than last year (2012).

It’s true. Satellite observations are showing that there is 60% more arctic sea ice this August than last. Unfortunately, all this illustrates is that the so-called sceptics are always willing to jump on any data point that might appear to confirm their prejudices. Sadly for them, August sea ice was still below the August average for recent years. The trend is still strongly negative.

{ 4 comments… read them below or add one }


Mark Byron 09.10.13 at 12:31 pm

The plans for the Point Barrow Surf Shop will have to go on hold for a bit.;-0

Each side can do statistical proof-texting, but since you have outliers on either side, they don’t say much. The medium and long-term trends are the big issue; long-term is rising but medium term is stable.


Richard 09.10.13 at 1:32 pm

I guess that depends on what you mean by ‘medium term’, Mark. Sure there’s the claim that ‘global warming stopped in 1998′, but that’s scarcely any better than the headline I’ve picked out here. As you say, the long term trend for global temperature is still up: 12 of the 14 hottest years on record occurred since 2000.

And which ever way you cut it, the claim that this year’s August arctic sea ice extent can be taken to prove that climate scientists are just on the take is either wilful ignorance or deliberate lying.


Mark Byron 09.13.13 at 4:26 pm

That much is true. There are always bobbles away from long-term trends in both directions; anything involving warming or melting of polar ice is played up by one side and anything involving cooling or added polar ice is played up by the other.

Also, if we hit a modern-era peak about 1998 and leveled off this century, we’d have most of the high-temp years being in this era, a high plateau on the chart overlooking the lower temps from the 20th century. The 12-of-14-hottest doesn’t disprove the plateau theory, but the plateau could well be a temporary pause on the way further up; it’s very open to new data showing a move away from that plateau.


Richard 09.13.13 at 6:04 pm

I don’t think I want to argue with any of that. Although I would dispute what I think is the implication of your comment: that there are two equally likely interpretations of the climate data.

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