…or so the US intelligence community thinks, it seems.
The blog of Richard Hall, a Methodist Minister in Wales.
by Richard on September 24, 2006
…or so the US intelligence community thinks, it seems.
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{ 16 comments… read them below or add one }
Kim 09.24.06 at 2:08 pm
Duh!
J 09.24.06 at 6:53 pm
It’s interesting how National Intelligence Estimates seem to become some sort of indiputable Holy Writ when they agree with one’s politics.
“The paper has not seen the report, but spoke to people familiar with it”
“According to the New York Times, which has spoken to officials who have either read it, or been involved in drafting it, the report says the invasion and occupation of Iraq has spawned a new generation of Islamic radicalism that has spread across the globe”
Let me rephrase that. It’s interesting how third hand rumors from partisan sources about National Intelligence Estimates seem to become some sort of indiputable Holy Writ when they agree with one’s politics.
Actually, I don’t see a finding like this as controversial, but I’m a little concerned about the BBC’s reporting standards.
DH 09.25.06 at 3:57 pm
Amen, J, my take which is similar to your take is this: This is a NY Times interpretation of the report. And NY Times isn’t partisan? come on that is hogwash.
“Let me rephrase that. It’s interesting how third hand rumors from partisan sources about National Intelligence Estimates seem to become some sort of indiputable Holy Writ when they agree with one’s politics.”
Thanks J, I’m totally with you on this.
DH 09.25.06 at 3:58 pm
So as you can see it isn’t obvious “duh” as Kim thinks in light of the biased interpretation from NY Times.
Ivan the Crank 09.25.06 at 4:47 pm
No matter who reported this or how biased or unbiased the report may be, is anyone really suprised at what seemed to me to be very obvious from the beginning of the War in Iraq: that we were not reducing the threat of terror and its causes, but in fact increasing the likelyhood of more converts to radical extremism in many different camps by invading, imposing our form of democracy and taking no time to know and understand the culture of those we have sought to liberate or those we have declared our “enemies?”
DH 09.25.06 at 4:57 pm
Ivan I don’t believe the report. I know many civilians who havegone to Iraq and Afghanistan who came away from a different conclusion. I believe terrorism has diminished andthat this report is propaganda and a misrepresentation by NY Times of the report. So I’m not surprised because I don’t believe those things. 10 million kids are able to go to school in Iraq, Pres. Karazai is in government (enough said), 90% of the population in Afghanistan have had no terrorist activity take place on them, hospitals, schools, and jobs are being created as we speak. This has been confirmed by multiple civilian sources who have personally been to Iraq and Afghanistan. Isthis ever reported by the press? no because theyhave their own biases.
Also, we are not imposing our form of democracy but are allowing the Iraqi’s and Afghans to determine the type of constitution and government by way of free elections.
Kim 09.25.06 at 4:57 pm
Thank you, Ivan.
Jeez, J and DH, you’d have to be Rip Van Winkle not to have noticed that Bush has doused terrorism not with water but with petrol (i.e. gasoline) - you know, the stuff for which he’s invaded the Middle East.
DH 09.25.06 at 5:04 pm
Kim, to go with your type of analogy, we prevented a nuclear bomb of terrorism. Using gasloline to prevent terrorism like a nuclear bomb seems reasonable. I personally believe that no water on terrorism can be done in light of the type of people terrorists are.
Are people going to die for their freedom in Iraq and Afghanistan? yes but it is better to have freedom and die than to not have freedom at all. Man I love Patrick Henry.
Kim 09.25.06 at 6:05 pm
Patrick Henry, for all you non-Yanks, was an early American patriot famous for saying, “Give me liberty or give me death” (during the Cold War it took the form of “Better dead than Red”), which could only have been uttered by an aristocrat, and, further, is palpable nonsense on stilts, as if freedom or extinction are alway the only two options available (Americans, since Reagan, mocked in a classic UK weekly satire as the President whose brain went missing, love to play zero-sum games).
As John Howard Yoder observes in his seminal study Karl Barth and the Problem of War (1970): The whole “‘better dead than enslaved’ argument raises a host of subproblems. One would be whether the concept of freedom is itself clearly defined, whether one is always either coimpletely free or completely slave, whether national independence and human freedom are always correlated.” Clearly they are not.
To wit, in Iraq. Here is Andreas Whittam Smith in today’s Independent: “Now comes the report published by Kofi Annan. It shows that in every respect Iraq has deteriorated since Saddam Hussein was in power. Believe it or not, there is more human rights abuse. Arbitrary detention and torture of detainees in Iraqi prisons is widespread. An inspection on 1 June found 1,431 detainees - about 10 per cent of the total in custody - with signs of physical and psychological abuse. Some 52 arrest warrants have been issued against officials in the Minstry of the Interior but they have yet to be served.” And so it goes on. Of course, if, with some of the religious right, you believe that Mr. Annan is the Antichrist . . .
DH 09.25.06 at 7:16 pm
Here is another biased perspective from the lack of resolve type UN. When the 1992 UN resolutions were violated and the UN wanted nothing to be done what more do you need.
Also, Kofi Annan’s son was making money off of the oil for food program. Do you think they wanted Saddam out of power when he was making money off of Saddam? You just lost your credibility by referencing Kofi Annan. Not the most balanced of sources.
P.S. I don’t think of Kofi as the anti-christ but I would say he is not a reputible source on issues like this.
P.S.S. Freedom is never free. It always requires paying a cost. I just don’t buy Mr. Yoder at all.
DH 09.25.06 at 7:19 pm
Kim, at least Poland and other Eastern European countries repsect Mr. Reagan:
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/14891745/
J 09.25.06 at 9:05 pm
“Jeez, J and DH, you’d have to be Rip Van Winkle not to have noticed that Bush has doused terrorism not with water but with petrol (i.e. gasoline) - you know, the stuff for which he’s invaded the Middle East”
I can’t speak for DH, but as I said in my last comment, I wouldn’t be surprised that AQ supporters are upset about the Iraq invasion, and Afghanistan before it - though given the quantity of terrorist attacks supposedly prevented, and the lead times in evidence in those that have succeeded, any answer to the question of whether we’re safer than before is speculation. As has been pointed out so many other places on the web, the citizens of Germany weren’t particularly pleased with our invasion of that country (they didn’t even attack us!). Should we have done nothing then?
In any case, my point was that the BBC’s sourcing was a little loose here. I’m mildly surprised that the Times trumpeted this so - keeping these issues in the news is not good for the politicians they support.
“with some of the religious right, you believe that Mr. Annan is the Antichrist ”
I wouldn’t restrict that to the religious right. There might be an institution with less credibility, in the eyes of the US public, than the UN, but I’m not sure what it would be. Maybe the legal industry.
I’m interested in the remark about petrol. What do you think Bush’s objective was with respect to that?
J 09.25.06 at 9:22 pm
Oops! I hit the submit key too soon. Sorry.
Since this NIE obviously proves that the Iraq invasion has failed to halt the spread of terrorism, I’ll let this other NIE speak for itself. And this one has actually been, you know, declassified and released to the public so you can decide for yourself: http://www.fas.org/irp/congress/2003_cr/h072103.html
An excerpt:
[From October 2002 NIE]
Iraq’s Continuing Programs for Weapons of Mass Destruction
We judge that Iraq has continued its weapons of mass
destruction (WMD) programs in defiance of UN resolutions and
restrictions. Baghdad has chemical and biological weapons as
well as missiles with ranges in excess of UN restrictions; if
left unchecked, it probably will have a nuclear weapon during
this decade. (See INR alternative view at the end of these
Key Judgments.)
I mean, they’re indisputably right all the time, right? (I have to admit, I think this one largely is, and the new one probably is too - let’s wait for the whole thing though, so we know what it actually says)
DH 09.25.06 at 9:52 pm
J your right on. For me this response seems the best:
“Also, Kofi Annan’s son was making money off of the oil for food program. Do you think they wanted Saddam out of power when he was making money off of Saddam? You just lost your credibility by referencing Kofi Annan. Not the most balanced of sources.”
This doesn’t even get into France and Germany making money off of Saddam after UN resolutions stated sanctions restricting nations from doing business with the Saddam regime. Does France, Germany and Kofi Annan’s son ever get rebuked by the left? no It shows a clear bias in the extreme way.
J 09.26.06 at 12:39 am
“Kofi Annan’s son was making money off of the oil for food program”
I’m a little nervous going down that road - not because I don’t think Kofi Jr was milking this program for cash, but because it pretends money is a prime motivator in the conflict here. (Sorry to be a broken record here but) Ideology is a far more powerful motivator than financial gain.
DH 09.26.06 at 3:55 pm
I’m not saying money made is the prime motivator in the conflict. I was pointing out that money made in violation of UN sanctions was the prime motivator in not wanting the War in Iraq for the UN, France and Germany. Those who are against the war never mention this and ignore these facts. That is why I brought them up. Hense my question “Does France, Germany and Kofi Annan’s son ever get rebuked by the left? no It shows a clear bias in the extreme way.”
However, I totally agree the only reason we are in Iraq was to free the region of Saddam regime anda second to destroy terrorist cells. So we are in agreement.